admin answers:

Professor Andrew Blakers from The Centre for Sustainable Energy Systems at the Australian National University will today report to the Greenhouse 2000 Conference in Melbourne that photovoltaic (PV) solar energy conversion can be cost-competitive with any low-emission electricity generation technology by 2030.

His paper describes how extrapolation of the huge economic and technical gains made by photovoltaics over the last 15 years gives confidence that a dramatic shift in electricity generation technology over the next quarter-century is possible.

Worldwide photovoltaic sales are growing at 40 to 50% per year. Government research & market support for photovoltaics of around $400 billion spread over the next 25 years can deliver the technology required to eliminate electricity production as a contributor to climate change. This is a large sum of money – similar to the cost of the Iraq war – but it is dwarfed by the $23 trillion expected investment in oil exploration out to 2030 or the $24 trillion investment in PV systems required to generate half of the world’s electricity by 2040.

Professor Blakers will also describe Sliver solar cell technology, which was invented at Arthur’s Seat in Edinburgh, Scotland, by Dr Klaus Weber and Professor Blakers in 2000 while attending a conference. Origin Energy, one of the sponsors of the Greenhouse 2000 Conference, is commercialising Sliver technology in Adelaide.
Work at ANU shows that Sliver solar cell technology can achieve electricity costs below retail electricity costs within five years, with the right investment. Explosive growth in sales in the commercial and residential sector will then follow.

Professor Blakers said that Sliver solar cell technology “can go all the way.”

“It’s not difficult to envisage Sliver based technology delivering electricity at a cost that matches wind energy, zero-emission coal and other clean energy technologies. No leap of faith is required; just careful engineering and adaptation of existing techniques from other industries,” he said.

Dr Weber added that it is essential to eliminate carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel based electricity generation in order to limit climate change. The cost of doing this with advanced solar technology will be far lower than the pessimistic forecasts advanced by some analysts.

“The key to a clean energy future is the setting of clear and challenging targets and the provision of reliable, long-term support to the solar industry. The industry will respond and deliver the required technology,” Dr Weber said. Recent solar and fuel cell articles

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Danish researchers develop hydrogen tablet; stores hydrogen in inexpensive and safe material September 21, 2005
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High oil prices make Asia pursue green energy September 9, 2005
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Cockroaches and rats used as batteries? August 24, 2005
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admin answers:

Solar energy is (or was) very expensive, yes. That is changing. Current costs versus long term power production are falling, however. At present, the cost is borderline.

However, solar energy alone is not a complete answer. First of all, for the production of electricity, it has some problems. The main one, of course, is tha tit doesn’t work at night. You either need a storage system (batteries) or an alternative source when it’s dark or cloudy.

There are alternatives which, combined with solar energy, can replace coal. Wind, existing hydroelectric systems, nuclear energy, and tidal power are some of them.

Myy point is, don’t fall into thhe trap of fixating on a single all-encompassing cure-all technology. We need a mix of technologies. That’s true today–we use coal, oil, nuclear, hydroelectric, and other sources–a mix of technologies to provide our energy needs. We need to change themix–eliminating fossil fuels and incorporating new technologies to replace those fossil fuels. There is no simple solution.

Now-as to oil–it is used primarily for transportation. In some ways it is ideal: its easy to store and the fuel stores the energy, whichis released when it’s burned.

There are alternatives. The one I think the most practical is to use electric cars. Current technology makes electric cars with performance and adequate range possible at prices comparable to gas-powered cars (once they are produced in large numbers as gas-powered cars are). That’s acutally a solved problem. What we do not have is a way of producing the electricity to power all those cars (without buring oil or coal, which defeats the purpose) at present. For that–go back to the first part of this post.

But we also do not have a practical infrastructure to deliver that electricity to a fleet of 150 millioncars (in the US). That is not a trivial problem. Think of what it takes to deliver a gallon of gas from an oil well to your car. Here’s the sequence. Oil well to pipeline (hundreds of miles) to refinery to another pipeline to atanker truck to an gas storage tank under a gas station and then a pump to take the gas out o fthe tank and deliver it to your car.

And remember, you need tha tinfrastructure so comprehensive that it blankets an entire CONTINENT.

You will need the samme for electric cars (or any other alternative).

I don’t mean to discourage you–this is doable. We DID do jsut that in the early 20th century to make our current system of gs-driven cars possible. But that took decades–and a hellava lot of engineering and research.

But–as to your question–we wil get solar power on a large scale in the foreseeable future. But we will need a lot more. It’s a complex problem–and a big one.